ABOUT THIS BLOG

Welcome. The contents of this blog comprise my personal observations on the stock market from the perspective of using both fundamental and technical analysis by reviewing market data and stock charts based on the methodologies of William O'Neil of Investors Business Daily and his books, from Stan Weinstein's books, and most of all, through lessons learned over the years by listening to Gary Kaltbaum's "Investor's Edge" radio show on Business Talk Radio.

Criteria of stocks include first researching sectors to determine which are strong and which are weak using the ADX indicator (>40 = increased volatility); focusing in on a leading sector and buying leading stocks on a high volume
breakout (minimum 2x average) above a base; stock prices are higher than $25/share with daily average volume higher than 300K; positive and increasing PVT (indicating institutional ownership), positive and increasing RSI (indicating relative strength compared to other stocks in the market).

Please keep in mind that
I am by no means an expert, nor are my posts intended for anything other than to share my opinions of what stocks are doing for the purpose of getting feedback. Thus, please do your own research before taking action on what you read here. I will be adding posts on topics of interest as I learn about them.

Thursday, June 26, 2008

CPE: Callon Petroleum Company (overview)

Callon Petroleum Company (CPE), another of the oil stocks, has been on an uptrend since what appears to be a "hammer" formation on 7/21/03 (as seen on the weekly 5-year chart), but with weakness by waivering above and below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages until September 2007, when it corrected and took off from there.

The stock has been trending up since September '07 in a two-steps-forward, one-step-back fashion, correcting as needed. The institutional investors have also thought this was a good stock, and they have been increasing their holdings (albeit slowly) in the stock. Additionally, the RSI (relative strength index) has been steadily increasing since September, when it crossed into positive territory placing CPE among the healthy stocks in the market (and possibly a future leader), even though the price is only in the mid-20's and not in the hundreds such as other monsters in the group.

Technically, the stock has some work to do before it becomes a sound investment. Currently, the 50-day moving average is at $17.18, which means that the stock would need to at least pull back to that level or base [move sideways] in a tight trading range until the moving average catches up with the stock BEFORE one should even consider investing in this stock.

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